Coal is here to
stay. More in some countries than others. In places like China, while coal is still
king, its role appears to be slowly morphing to liquid fuels such as
gasoline and diesel. With the world’s third largest reserves of coal after
Russia and the U.S., China sees
the future in coal-to-liquids (CTL) fuels in order to reduce dependence on foreign
oil and to maintain robust domestic CTL production as an alternative to
petroleum. Despite environmental and economic costs of producing liquid fuels
from coal, China’s state-run Shenhua Group began profiting from its first direct
coal-to-liquids (CTL) facility in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China, and producing
216,000 tons of refined oil products in the first quarter of 2011. Although China
wavered to use the CTL technology in 2008 due to high production costs and
concerns with water use, its push
forward resulted in stable production for the past nine months, bringing in 100
million yuan ($15.38 million) in earnings in the first quarter of 2011 to Shenhua.
Direct-liquefaction
CTL, which converts coal to liquid fuels by
way of heating finely ground coal above 400 degrees Celsius with hydrogen
and a suitable catalyst and further processing to obtain naphtha and middle
distillates, has not been widely used in the world yet. The reasons
include high production costs, technical challenges, comparatively cheap global
oil prices that make it difficult to invest in expensive CTL technology, as
well as its carbon footprint, which would not be insignificant due to emissions
from hydrogen production and thermal loss. There have been long-standing
concerns with toxicity and carcinogenicity of liquids produced from direct CTL fuel
production, which still warrant detailed studying. For these reasons, the CTL
industry has not developed in the U.S., another country with vast coal
supplies.
It is unlikely that
CTL will gain much traction in the U.S. in the near term, particularly given
its massive shale oil and gas production that have further displaced coal in
its energy mix. But China’s continued experimentation with direct CTL
production to make it economically viable and less taxing on the environment,
or failure to do so, would be worth monitoring and taking a note. The true cost-benefit
analysis of the direct CTL technology and any serious attempt to develop or
invest in it in the U.S. might occur when domestic natural gas prices begin to
rise from their current historic lows as well as sustained high crude oil
prices.
It is unlikely that CTL will gain much traction in the U.S. in the near term, particularly given its massive shale oil and gas production that have further displaced coal in its energy mix. But China’s continued experimentation with direct CTL production to make it economically viable and less taxing on the environment, or failure to do so, would be worth monitoring and taking a note. The true cost-benefit analysis of the direct CTL technology and any serious attempt to develop or invest in it in the U.S. might occur when domestic natural gas prices begin to rise from their current historic lows as well as sustained high crude oil prices.
ReplyDeleteany serious attempt to develop or invest in it in the U.S. might occur when domestic natural gas prices begin to rise from their current historic lows as well as sustained high crude oil prices. China Direct
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